Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 9:03·JAX 26, NYJ 20

   (9:03) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith pushed ob at NYJ 1 for 35 yards (36-D.Barrett). Play Challenged by Review Assistant and REVERSED. 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +40pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:17·JAX 20, NYJ 17

   (3:17) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 11-R.Williams to JAX 38 for 3 yards (36-D.Barrett). FUMBLES (36-D.Barrett), RECOVERED by NYJ-36-D.Barrett at NYJ 49. 36-D.Barrett to JAX 21 for 30 yards (7-B.Leftwich).

   +33pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q3 · 12:17·JAX 10, NYJ 13

   (12:17) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 35 for -5 yards (56-J.Abraham). FUMBLES (56-J.Abraham), touched at JAX 35, RECOVERED by NYJ-93-J.Reed at JAX 33. 93-J.Reed for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +28pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q5 · 14:01·JAX 20, NYJ 20

   (14:01) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 81-J.McCareins INTERCEPTED by 27-R.Mathis at JAX 49. 27-R.Mathis to NYJ 46 for 5 yards (81-J.McCareins).

   +25pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 2:13·JAX 13, NYJ 14

   (2:13) 2-C.Hanson punts 47 yards to NYJ 27, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 22-J.Miller MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by JAX-43-G.Sensabaugh at NYJ 16. 43-G.Sensabaugh to NYJ 16 for no gain (22-J.Miller).

   +23pp

   JAX