Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:06·DEN 24, IND 27

   (6:06) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right intended for 88-D.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler [54-D.Parry] at DEN 49. 20-D.Butler to DEN 49 for no gain (88-D.Thomas).

   +17pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:37·DEN 13, IND 17

   (11:37) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 10-E.Sanders for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 0:59·DEN 17, IND 17

   (:59) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 17-G.Whalen to DEN 13 for 38 yards (43-T.Ward).

   +15pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 14:09·DEN 17, IND 23

   (14:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 44-A.Bradshaw for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:50·DEN 0, IND 0

   (8:50) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 13-T.Hilton to DEN 35 for 28 yards (43-T.Ward) [58-V.Miller]. DEN-25-C.Harris was injured during the play. PENALTY on DEN-43-T.Ward, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at DEN 35.

   +12pp

   IND