Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 1:42·DEN 7, IND 3

   (1:42) 1-P.McAfee punts 54 yards to DEN 7, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-T.Holliday pushed ob at DEN 14 for 7 yards (39-S.Havili). Indianapolis challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 1-P.McAfee punts 54 yards to DEN 7, Center-45-M.Overton. 11-T.Holliday to DEN 14 for 7 yards (39-S.Havili). FUMBLES (39-S.Havili), RECOVERED by IND-38-S.Brown at DEN 11. 38-S.Brown, dead ball declared at DEN 11 for no gain.

   +20pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:15·DEN 30, IND 39

   (3:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 21-R.Hillman up the middle to IND 3 for -1 yards (93-E.Walden). FUMBLES (93-E.Walden), RECOVERED by IND-41-A.Bethea at IND 3. 41-A.Bethea to IND 3 for no gain (66-M.Ramirez).

   +16pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 6:04·DEN 7, IND 0

   (6:04) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 81-D.Heyward-Bey to DEN 7 for 27 yards (36-K.Webster).

   +11pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 7:07·DEN 30, IND 36

   (7:07) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle intended for 83-W.Welker INTERCEPTED by 51-P.Angerer (93-E.Walden) at DEN 24. 51-P.Angerer to DEN 20 for 4 yards (27-K.Moreno).

   +10pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:32·DEN 14, IND 12

   (7:32) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck scrambles left tackle to DEN 28 for 11 yards (25-C.Harris).

   +9pp

   IND