Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 4:43·DEN 7, IND 21

   (4:43) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass deep left intended for 15-B.Marshall INTERCEPTED by 23-T.Jennings at IND 1. 23-T.Jennings to IND 14 for 13 yards (27-K.Moreno).

   +9pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 9:49·DEN 16, IND 21

   (9:49) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short left to 15-B.Marshall for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:02·DEN 7, IND 21

   (1:02) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle intended for 17-A.Collie INTERCEPTED by 31-D.McBath at IND 49. 31-D.McBath to IND 24 for 25 yards (66-K.DeVan, 65-R.Lilja).

   +8pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 7:40·DEN 16, IND 21

   (7:40) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 87-R.Wayne to DEN 38 for 20 yards (20-B.Dawkins) [92-E.Dumervil].

   +7pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 8:57·DEN 16, IND 21

   (8:57) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 17-A.Collie to IND 43 for 23 yards (20-B.Dawkins).

   +7pp

   IND