Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 10:49·BAL 7, HOU 16

   (10:49) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle intended for 82-T.Smith INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Jackson at BAL 46. 25-K.Jackson to BAL 19 for 27 yards (82-T.Smith).

   +11pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:58·BAL 0, HOU 6

   (4:58) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 89-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 34-A.Bouye (93-J.Crick) at BAL 18. 34-A.Bouye to BAL 16 for 2 yards (89-S.Smith).

   +9pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:50·BAL 0, HOU 9

   (3:50) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 81-O.Daniels INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Jackson at BAL 24. 25-K.Jackson to BAL 19 for 5 yards (81-O.Daniels). Penalty on BAL-60-E.Monroe, Offensive Holding, declined. The Replay Official challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +9pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q1 · 6:37·BAL 0, HOU 3

   (6:37) (Shotgun) 7-C.Keenum pass deep left intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Stewart at BAL 23. 24-D.Stewart to BAL 23 for no gain (80-A.Johnson).

   +7pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:21·BAL 0, HOU 6

   (11:21) (Shotgun) 7-C.Keenum scrambles left end to HOU 37 for 13 yards (51-D.Smith). PENALTY on BAL-51-D.Smith, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 37.

   +7pp

   HOU