Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 8:46·HOU 13, BAL 13

   (8:46) 8-M.Schaub pass deep left to 12-J.Jones for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q3 · 6:24·HOU 14, BAL 13

   (6:24) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 82-T.Smith to HOU 13 for 51 yards (25-K.Jackson).

   +10pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q3 · 6:54·HOU 14, BAL 13

   (6:54) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 82-T.Smith to BAL 36 for 19 yards (25-K.Jackson). Penalty on HOU-98-C.Barwin, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +10pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 6:17·HOU 0, BAL 7

   (6:17) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at BAL 17 for -7 yards (96-T.Jamison). FUMBLES (96-T.Jamison), RECOVERED by HOU-96-T.Jamison at BAL 17. 96-T.Jamison to BAL 17 for no gain (5-J.Flacco).

   +10pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q1 · 10:51·HOU 0, BAL 0

   (10:51) (Shotgun) 23-A.Foster left end ran ob at BAL 42 for 16 yards (29-Ca.Williams).

   +9pp

   HOU