Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:20·BUF 16, KC 10

   (2:20) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass deep middle intended for 11-C.Chambers INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Byrd at BUF 5. 31-J.Byrd to BUF 23 for 18 yards.

   +21pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 3:04·BUF 13, KC 9

   (3:04) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 11:32·BUF 13, KC 10

   (11:32) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass short right intended for 11-C.Chambers INTERCEPTED by 51-P.Posluszny at BUF 48. 51-P.Posluszny to KC 35 for 17 yards (74-W.Smith). Kansas City challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 11:22.)

   +18pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 3:45·BUF 16, KC 10

   (3:45) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass incomplete deep right to 17-L.Long. PENALTY on BUF-31-J.Byrd, Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards, enforced at BUF 41 - No Play. Penalty on BUF-20-D.Whitner, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +18pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:00·BUF 0, KC 0

   (6:00) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at BUF 9 for -7 yards (50-M.Vrabel). FUMBLES (50-M.Vrabel), RECOVERED by KC-95-R.Edwards at BUF 9. 95-R.Edwards to BUF 9 for no gain (73-K.Chambers).

   +14pp

   KAN