Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:25·HOU 0, IND 7

   (4:25) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle intended for 16-D.Rogers INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Joseph at HOU 5. 24-J.Joseph to HOU 37 for 32 yards (78-G.Cherilus; 12-A.Luck).

   +13pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:38·HOU 3, IND 7

   (13:38) (Shotgun) 7-C.Keenum pass short left intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at HOU 30. 20-D.Butler to HOU 17 for 13 yards (80-A.Johnson).

   +11pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:07·HOU 3, IND 17

   (3:07) (Run formation) 7-C.Keenum pass deep right intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at IND 31. 20-D.Butler to HOU 44 for 25 yards (84-R.Griffin).

   +7pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:05·HOU 3, IND 10

   (12:05) 4-A.Vinatieri 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee. PENALTY on IND-75-M.McGlynn, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +6pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 8:43·HOU 3, IND 10

   (8:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton pushed ob at HOU 27 for 41 yards (24-J.Joseph). Penalty on HOU-24-J.Joseph, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +6pp

   IND