Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:33·BAL 9, PIT 7

   (3:33) (Punt formation) 9-D.Butler punts 51 yards to BAL 37, Center-60-G.Warren. 12-J.Jones for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q3 · 9:40·BAL 10, PIT 7

   (9:40) (Shotgun) 4-B.Leftwich pass deep left intended for 88-E.Sanders INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Graham at BAL 18. 24-C.Graham to BAL 38 for 20 yards (53-M.Pouncey).

   +12pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:12·BAL 13, PIT 10

   (1:12) (Punt formation) 4-S.Koch punts 44 yards to PIT 16, Center-46-M.Cox, fair catch by 88-E.Sanders.

   +11pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q3 · 11:51·BAL 10, PIT 7

   (11:51) 4-B.Leftwich pass deep left to 88-E.Sanders to BAL 40 for 37 yards (29-C.Williams; 24-C.Graham).

   +10pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q4 · 12:02·BAL 13, PIT 10

   (12:02) (Shotgun) 4-B.Leftwich pass short middle to 27-J.Dwyer to BAL 48 for 7 yards (20-E.Reed) [95-B.Hall]. Official measurement. Pittsburgh challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 4-B.Leftwich pass short middle to 27-J.Dwyer to BAL 47 for 8 yards (20-E.Reed) [95-B.Hall]. Official measurement.

   +10pp

   PIT