Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:12·TB 0, NO 0

   (5:12) (Run formation) 27-L.Blount right tackle to NO 31 for -2 yards (41-R.Harper, 52-J.Casillas). FUMBLES (41-R.Harper), recovered by TB-44-E.Lorig at NO 34. 44-E.Lorig to NO 34 for no gain (92-S.Rogers).

   +11pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:19·TB 0, NO 0

   (11:19) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 12-M.Colston to TB 26 for 20 yards (20-R.Barber; 26-S.Jones). Pass 15, YAC 5

   +11pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q1 · 9:28·TB 0, NO 0

   (9:28) 2-J.Kasay 42 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel.

   +9pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q1 · 8:00·TB 0, NO 0

   (8:00) 27-L.Blount right guard to NO 38 for 7 yards (41-R.Harper).

   +6pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:07·TB 0, NO 0

   (5:07) 43-D.Sproles right guard to TB 31 for 35 yards (33-E.Mack; 20-R.Barber).

   +6pp

   NOR