Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 3:58·TEN 14, IND 12

   (3:58) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at IND 42 for -14 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis) [98-R.Mathis], RECOVERED by IND-50-J.Freeman at IND 44. 50-J.Freeman to TEN 32 for 24 yards (28-C.Johnson). 16 sack yards.

   +24pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:36·TEN 7, IND 9

   (:36) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right intended for 13-K.Wright INTERCEPTED by 32-C.Vaughn at IND 28. 32-C.Vaughn to IND 36 for 8 yards (13-K.Wright).

   +20pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:20·TEN 14, IND 15

   (1:20) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle intended for 85-N.Washington INTERCEPTED by 32-C.Vaughn at TEN 48. 32-C.Vaughn to TEN 48 for no gain (85-N.Washington).

   +14pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:07·TEN 7, IND 9

   (:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton to TEN 34 for 20 yards (55-Z.Brown). PENALTY on TEN-53-M.Fokou, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at TEN 34.

   +13pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 9:46·TEN 14, IND 15

   (9:46) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick right guard to IND 41 for 12 yards (20-D.Butler).

   +11pp

   TEN