Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 5:40·TEN 20, IND 20

   (5:40) (Run formation) 10-J.Locker pass short right intended for 85-N.Washington INTERCEPTED by 32-C.Vaughn at TEN 3. 32-C.Vaughn for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +28pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:51·TEN 16, IND 7

   (4:51) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 92-W.Witherspoon [91-D.Morgan] at IND 40. 92-W.Witherspoon for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +24pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 5:42·TEN 23, IND 24

   (5:42) (Shotgun) 10-J.Locker pass short right intended for 85-N.Washington INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Butler at TEN 35. 20-D.Butler to TEN 28 for 7 yards (71-M.Roos).

   +22pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 14:15·TEN 7, IND 7

   (14:15) (Shotgun) 10-J.Locker pass deep right to 18-K.Britt pushed ob at IND 25 for 46 yards (32-C.Vaughn).

   +16pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 6:28·TEN 23, IND 24

   (6:28) 4-A.Vinatieri 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.

   +11pp

   IND