Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:52·DEN 16, KC 7

   (6:52) (Shotgun) 15-T.Tebow pass deep right to 87-E.Decker for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DEN-87-E.Decker, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. Excessive Celebration penalty assessed on kickoff.

   +20pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 2:42·DEN 7, KC 0

   (2:42) (Shotgun) 27-K.Moreno right end to DEN 36 for 22 yards (56-D.Johnson). DEN-27-K.Moreno was injured during the play. His return is Doubtful. Injury was to right knee.

   +8pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 9:16·DEN 10, KC 0

   (9:16) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass short left to 22-D.McCluster pushed ob at DEN 5 for 14 yards (55-D.Williams; 28-Q.Carter).

   +7pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q4 · 12:18·DEN 10, KC 7

   (12:18) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass incomplete short middle to 82-D.Bowe.

   +6pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q3 · 11:39·DEN 10, KC 0

   (11:39) 26-J.Battle left tackle pushed ob at DEN 31 for 34 yards (58-V.Miller).

   +6pp

   KAN