Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 13:17·NO 17, ATL 13

   (13:17) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 13-D.Johnson to NO 20 for 2 yards (55-K.Dawson). FUMBLES (55-K.Dawson), RECOVERED by NO-24-C.White at NO 13. 24-C.White to NO 13 for no gain (83-H.Douglas).

   +22pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:21·NO 13, ATL 10

   (10:21) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 80-J.Graham for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:24·NO 17, ATL 13

   (2:24) 3-M.Bryant 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.

   +12pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q3 · 6:13·NO 14, ATL 13

   (6:13) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 80-J.Graham pushed ob at ATL 27 for 35 yards (25-W.Moore).

   +11pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:05·NO 17, ATL 13

   (:05) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 83-H.Douglas to ATL 49 for 11 yards. 83-H.Douglas pass incomplete. PENALTY on ATL-83-H.Douglas, Illegal Forward Pass, 0 yards, enforced at ATL 49.

   +10pp

   NOR