Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 10:55·IND 13, DEN 14

   (10:55) (Shotgun) 16-J.Plummer sacked at DEN 12 for -5 yards (sack split by 58-G.Brackett and 93-D.Freeney). Play Challenged by IND and REVERSED. (Shotgun) 16-J.Plummer sacked at DEN 12 for -5 yards (sack split by 58-G.Brackett and 93-D.Freeney). FUMBLES (58-G.Brackett), RECOVERED by IND-79-R.Brock at DEN 12. 79-R.Brock to DEN 12 for no gain (16-J.Plummer).

   +17pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:35·IND 31, DEN 28

   (3:35) 20-M.Bell right guard pushed ob at IND 32 for 48 yards (41-A.Bethea).

   +16pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:41·IND 29, DEN 28

   (3:41) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 15:00·IND 3, DEN 0

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 16-J.Plummer pass deep left to 87-D.Kircus pushed ob at IND 37 for 45 yards (41-A.Bethea).

   +15pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:42·IND 23, DEN 21

   (7:42) 37-C.Sapp up the middle to IND 1 for 28 yards (95-Da.Reid).

   +13pp

   DEN