Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:46·TEN 20, IND 20

   (1:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 30-D.Rhodes up the middle to TEN 45 for 7 yards (94-S.Marks). FUMBLES (94-S.Marks), RECOVERED by TEN-33-M.Griffin at TEN 43. 33-M.Griffin to IND 37 for 20 yards (84-J.Tamme).

   +41pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:30·TEN 20, IND 20

   (1:30) (Run formation) 5-K.Collins FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 34, RECOVERED by IND-98-R.Mathis at IND 37. 98-R.Mathis to IND 38 for 1 yard (28-C.Johnson).

   +38pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:03·TEN 20, IND 23

   (:03) 4-A.Vinatieri 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.

   +22pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q3 · 4:26·TEN 19, IND 20

   (4:26) (Shotgun) 5-K.Collins pass short middle to 28-C.Johnson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:52·TEN 20, IND 20

   (1:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne pushed ob at IND 48 for 12 yards (31-C.Finnegan).

   +11pp

   IND