Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:02·ATL 0, HOU 0

   (7:02) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle intended for 11-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Allen at HOU 26. 30-J.Allen to ATL 40 for 34 yards (11-J.Jones).

   +15pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 8:24·ATL 0, HOU 0

   (8:24) 13-T.Yates sacked at ATL 22 for -7 yards (99-V.Walker). FUMBLES (99-V.Walker) [99-V.Walker], RECOVERED by ATL-36-J.Sanders at ATL 10. 36-J.Sanders for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. Penalty on HOU-98-C.Barwin, Illegal Substitution, offsetting, enforced at ATL 35. Penalty on ATL-93-R.Edwards, Illegal Substitution, offsetting. Houston challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 08:18.)

   +13pp

   ATL
3. 3
   Q4 · 7:30·ATL 10, HOU 10

   (7:30) 23-A.Foster right tackle to ATL 2 for 7 yards (24-D.Franks, 71-K.Biermann).

   +10pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:01·ATL 10, HOU 17

   (:01) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete deep left to 11-J.Jones (25-K.Jackson).

   +10pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:35·ATL 10, HOU 17

   (2:35) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete short middle to 84-R.White (94-A.Smith) [56-B.Cushing].

   +9pp

   HOU