Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 9:26·TB 20, NO 13

   (9:26) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 27-L.Blount to TB 35 for no gain (96-A.Brown). FUMBLES (96-A.Brown), RECOVERED by NO-56-J.Dunbar at TB 37. No yardage on the pass completion.

   +15pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q3 · 2:15·TB 19, NO 10

   (2:15) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 19-M.Williams for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 18, YAC 0

   +13pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q4 · 8:09·TB 20, NO 13

   (8:09) 10-C.Daniel FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 39, recovered by NO-25-R.Bush at TB 39. 25-R.Bush to TB 39 for no gain (26-S.Jones).

   +13pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:53·TB 10, NO 7

   (1:53) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman sacked at NO 48 for -10 yards (97-J.Charleston). FUMBLES (97-J.Charleston) [97-J.Charleston], RECOVERED by NO-97-J.Charleston at NO 48. 97-J.Charleston to NO 48 for no gain (5-J.Freeman). The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +12pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q3 · 10:30·TB 10, NO 10

   6-T.Morstead kicks 72 yards from NO 30 to TB -2. 81-M.Spurlock pushed ob at NO 33 for 69 yards (6-T.Morstead).

   +12pp

   TAM