Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 7:23·HOU 9, BAL 13

   (7:23) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr pass intended for 37-D.Davis INTERCEPTED by 96-A.Thomas (95-J.Johnson) at HOU 20. 96-A.Thomas for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +38pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:06·HOU 15, BAL 16

   3-M.Stover kicks 68 yards from BAL 30 to HOU 2. 13-J.Mathis to HOU 26 for 24 yards (83-D.Wilcox).

   +22pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:20·HOU 15, BAL 13

   (:20) (Shotgun) 7-K.Boller pass to 89-M.Clayton to HOU 10 for 35 yards (23-D.Robinson). PENALTY on BAL-85-D.Mason, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 10.

   +22pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:10·HOU 15, BAL 16

   (:10) 3-M.Stover 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-15-D.Zastudil.

   +20pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:07·HOU 6, BAL 7

   (4:07) (Shotgun) 7-K.Boller pass to 29-C.Taylor to BAL 28 for 6 yards (51-D.Polk). FUMBLES (51-D.Polk), RECOVERED by HOU-56-M.Greenwood at BAL 29. 56-M.Greenwood to BAL 29 for no gain (79-T.Pashos).

   +19pp

   HOU