Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:27·DAL 16, NE 19

   (:27) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 81-A.Hernandez for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +33pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:53·DAL 0, NE 3

   (4:53) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 84-D.Branch INTERCEPTED by 41-T.Newman (99-K.Coleman) at NE 24. 41-T.Newman to NE 23 for 1 yard (84-D.Branch).

   +18pp

   DAL
3. 3
   Q3 · 0:38·DAL 13, NE 13

   (:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 81-A.Hernandez to DAL 17 for 4 yards (56-B.James). FUMBLES (56-B.James), RECOVERED by DAL-41-T.Newman at DAL 16. 41-T.Newman to DAL 23 for 7 yards (39-D.Woodhead).

   +16pp

   DAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 7:34·DAL 13, NE 13

   (7:34) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass short right to 81-L.Robinson pushed ob at NE 22 for 32 yards (59-G.Guyton).

   +14pp

   DAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 1:11·DAL 3, NE 3

   (1:11) 23-T.Choice right tackle to NE 21 for no gain (75-V.Wilfork). FUMBLES (75-V.Wilfork), RECOVERED by NE-98-G.Warren at NE 21.

   +14pp

   NWE