Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:53·BUF 17, MIA 14

   (1:53) (Field Goal formation) 5-D.Carpenter 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.

   +27pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:42·BUF 10, MIA 7

   (:42) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right intended for 13-St. Johnson INTERCEPTED by 27-B.Sapp at MIA 38. 27-B.Sapp to MIA 43 for 5 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at MIA 47. 27-B.Sapp to MIA 47 for no gain (14-R.Fitzpatrick). The Replay Assistant challenged the illegal forward pass ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +18pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:05·BUF 17, MIA 14

   (:05) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short left to 19-B.Marshall to MIA 35 for 3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BUF-43-B.Scott at MIA 35. 43-B.Scott to MIA 18 for 17 yards.

   +11pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 10:45·BUF 6, MIA 0

   (10:45) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle to 86-D.Nelson for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIA-24-S.Smith, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +11pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:20·BUF 10, MIA 7

   (:20) 7-C.Henne sacked at BUF 45 for -4 yards (sack split by 20-D.Whitner and 95-K.Williams).

   +10pp

   BUF