Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:51·NE 0, CHI 0

   (7:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-D.Branch to CHI 34 for 16 yards (46-C.Harris).

   +11pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:09·NE 20, CHI 0

   (10:09) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 13-J.Knox to CHI 39 for 1 yard (32-D.McCourty). FUMBLES (32-D.McCourty), RECOVERED by NE-59-G.Guyton at CHI 35. 59-G.Guyton for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Chicago challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 09:56.)

   +9pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 9:46·NE 0, CHI 0

   (9:46) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker to CHI 48 for 17 yards (38-D.Manning).

   +8pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:56·NE 7, CHI 0

   (3:56) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 13-J.Knox to CHI 33 for 19 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +7pp

   CHI
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:10·NE 0, CHI 0

   (7:10) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 83-W.Welker to CHI 10 for 24 yards (35-Z.Bowman, 53-N.Roach).

   +6pp

   NWE