Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:52·CHI 13, NE 17

   (1:52) 8-R.Grossman pass deep middle intended for 81-R.Davis INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NE 38. 22-A.Samuel to NE 37 for -1 yards (81-R.Davis). NE 22-Samuel 3rd INT of game, ties NE team record (6 other times, most recently Roland James 10/23/83 at Buffalo)

   +17pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 5:55·CHI 10, NE 17

   (5:55) 8-R.Grossman pass incomplete deep left to 80-B.Berrian. PENALTY on NE-27-E.Hobbs, Defensive Pass Interference, 30 yards, enforced at NE 48 - No Play.

   +17pp

   CHI
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:00·CHI 13, NE 17

   (2:00) 28-C.Dillon right tackle to CHI 22 for 3 yards (38-D.Manning). FUMBLES (38-D.Manning), RECOVERED by CHI-96-A.Brown at CHI 22.

   +16pp

   CHI
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:45·CHI 0, NE 0

   (2:45) 39-L.Maroney up the middle to CHI 11 for no gain (55-L.Briggs). FUMBLES (55-L.Briggs), RECOVERED by CHI-55-L.Briggs at CHI 15.

   +15pp

   CHI
5. 5
   Q3 · 0:29·CHI 3, NE 10

   (:29) 8-R.Grossman pass incomplete deep right to 80-B.Berrian [97-J.Green]. PENALTY on NE-25-A.Hawkins, Defensive Pass Interference, 45 yards, enforced at CHI 49 - No Play.

   +15pp

   CHI