Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:24·IND 6, HOU 13

   (5:24) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:54·IND 0, HOU 6

   (3:54) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 87-R.Wayne to 50 for 22 yards (29-G.Quin). PENALTY on HOU-29-G.Quin, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.

   +9pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:26·IND 0, HOU 0

   (13:26) 1-P.McAfee punts 41 yards to HOU 30, Center-48-J.Snow. 12-J.Jones to IND 31 for 39 yards (20-J.Tryon). (The punt hangtime was 3.3 seconds.)

   +8pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:53·IND 7, HOU 13

   (:53) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon to HOU 6 for 26 yards (31-B.Pollard).

   +7pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:02·IND 0, HOU 3

   (6:02) 8-M.Schaub pass incomplete deep middle to 83-K.Walter. PENALTY on IND-26-K.Hayden, Defensive Pass Interference, 53 yards, enforced at HOU 16 - No Play.

   +6pp

   HOU