Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 3:27·IND 7, BUF 14

   (3:27) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter up the middle to BUF 43 for -2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BUF-90-C.Kelsay at 50. QB drops ball after attempting handoff.

   +13pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 5:08·IND 7, BUF 13

   (5:08) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 83-L.Evans for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 3.

   +8pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:32·IND 0, BUF 0

   (12:32) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle intended for 84-J.Tamme INTERCEPTED by 47-C.Harris at IND 48. 47-C.Harris to IND 41 for 7 yards (87-R.Wayne). Receiver fell prior to INT.

   +7pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q1 · 1:10·IND 7, BUF 7

   (1:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 17-A.Collie to IND 39 for 15 yards (47-C.Harris). Caught along sideline at IND 39.

   +7pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:30·IND 0, BUF 6

   (9:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 22-F.Jackson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 7 yds. into end zone, crossing from right.

   +6pp

   BUF