Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 15:00·BUF 0, IND 0

   S.Christie kicks 54 yards from BUF 30 to IND 16. J.Pathon to IND 31 for 15 yards (R.Hill).

   +55pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q3 · 4:08·BUF 6, IND 22

   (4:08) (Shotgun) R.Johnson sacked at BUF 48 for -7 yards (J.Burris). FUMBLES (J.Burris), touched at 50, RECOVERED by IND-B.Holsey at BUF 48. B.Holsey for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by BUF and Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 03:58.)

   +12pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:41·BUF 3, IND 0

   (5:41) (Shotgun) P.Manning pass to J.Pathon pushed ob at BUF 36 for 14 yards (D.Porter).

   +11pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 7:49·BUF 3, IND 6

   (7:49) (Shotgun) R.Johnson pass incomplete to P.Price. PENALTY on IND-D.Macklin, Defensive Pass Interference, 22 yards, enforced at IND 45 - No Play.

   +11pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 9:16·BUF 3, IND 6

   (9:16) (Shotgun) R.Johnson pass to P.Price ran ob at BUF 40 for 21 yards (T.Blevins).

   +9pp

   BUF