Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 9:23·BAL 17, PIT 20

   (9:23) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right intended for 10-S.Holmes INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Foxworth at PIT 46. 24-D.Foxworth to PIT 27 for 19 yards. Returned for a touchdown. Penalty marked off from spot of foul. PENALTY on BAL-55-T.Suggs, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at PIT 27.

   +19pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 9:24·BAL 10, PIT 13

   (9:24) 34-R.Mendenhall left tackle to PIT 37 for -1 yards (25-C.Carr). FUMBLES (25-C.Carr), touched at PIT 37, RECOVERED by BAL-52-R.Lewis at PIT 31. 52-R.Lewis to PIT 30 for 1 yard (78-M.Starks).

   +18pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 9:16·BAL 10, PIT 13

   (9:16) 27-R.Rice left end to PIT 26 for 4 yards (92-J.Harrison). FUMBLES (92-J.Harrison), RECOVERED by PIT-24-I.Taylor at PIT 26. 24-I.Taylor to PIT 27 for 1 yard (27-R.Rice).

   +16pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:34·BAL 20, PIT 23

   (2:34) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at PIT 43 for -5 yards (56-L.Woodley). FUMBLES (56-L.Woodley), RECOVERED by PIT-96-E.Hood at PIT 43. 96-E.Hood to PIT 42 for -1 yards (73-M.Yanda).

   +16pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:11·BAL 10, PIT 13

   (1:11) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 17-M.Wallace to PIT 49 for 45 yards (41-F.Walker). Penalty on BAL-55-T.Suggs, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +13pp

   PIT