Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:26·MIA 14, JAX 10

   (1:26) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard up the middle to 50 for -4 yards (94-R.Starks).

   +21pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q4 · 7:57·MIA 14, JAX 10

   (7:57) 7-C.Henne pass short left intended for 80-A.Fasano INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Cox at JAX 41. 21-D.Cox to JAX 47 for 6 yards (66-D.Thomas). FUMBLES (66-D.Thomas), recovered by JAX-96-T.Knighton at JAX 49. 96-T.Knighton to JAX 49 for no gain (80-A.Fasano).

   +20pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:05·MIA 14, JAX 7

   (7:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 81-T.Holt to MIA 11 for 63 yards (29-T.Culver).

   +18pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:31·MIA 14, JAX 7

   (1:31) (Shotgun) 15-D.Bess left end to JAX 35 for -2 yards (42-G.Alexander). FUMBLES (42-G.Alexander), RECOVERED by JAX-20-A.Smith at JAX 32. 20-A.Smith to JAX 32 for no gain (80-A.Fasano). The Replay Assistant challenged the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +15pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:01·MIA 0, JAX 0

   (7:01) 7-C.Henne pass short middle to 15-D.Bess to JAX 27 for 15 yards (20-A.Smith; 25-R.Nelson).

   +11pp

   MIA