Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 11:39·MIA 16, JAX 10

   (11:39) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 30-O.Ayanbadejo to JAX 3 for 3 yards (98-J.Henderson). FUMBLES (98-J.Henderson), recovered by MIA-81-R.McMichael at JAX 2. 81-R.McMichael for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by JAX and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by JAX at 11:29.)

   +18pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q3 · 0:13·MIA 10, JAX 10

   (:13) 9-J.Fiedler pass to 80-J.McKnight to JAX 30 for 33 yards (42-A.Mitchell).

   +15pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q3 · 6:55·MIA 10, JAX 3

   (6:55) 34-R.Williams to MIA 42 for -8 yards (58-H.Douglas). FUMBLES (58-H.Douglas), RECOVERED by JAX-51-A.Ayodele at MIA 42. 51-A.Ayodele to MIA 42 for no gain (34-R.Williams). Attempted Reverse to MD84.

   +15pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 6:46·MIA 10, JAX 3

   (6:46) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at 50 for -8 yards (93-A.Ogunleye). FUMBLES (93-A.Ogunleye), RECOVERED by MIA-99-J.Taylor at MIA 48. 99-J.Taylor to MIA 48 for no gain (72-M.Pearson). Play Challenged by JAX and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by JAX at 06:39.)

   +15pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:04·MIA 17, JAX 10

   (7:04) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich Aborted. 63-B.Meester FUMBLES at MIA 2, recovered by JAX-7-B.Leftwich at MIA 13. 7-B.Leftwich to MIA 13 for no gain (99-J.Taylor). Low shotgun snap.

   +13pp

   MIA