Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:45·NE 17, DEN 17

   (1:45) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 45 for -6 yards (99-V.Holliday). FUMBLES (99-V.Holliday), RECOVERED by DEN-92-E.Dumervil at NE 45. 92-E.Dumervil to NE 45 for no gain (70-L.Mankins).

   +32pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:22·NE 17, DEN 17

   (:22) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton sacked at DEN 50 for -6 yards (95-T.Banta-Cain).

   +15pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q5 · 10:15·NE 17, DEN 20

   (10:15) 5-M.Prater 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-1-B.Kern.

   +14pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:27·NE 17, DEN 17

   (2:27) 34-S.Morris left end to NE 49 for 19 yards (26-J.Williams).

   +13pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:27·NE 17, DEN 16

   (5:27) 8-K.Orton pass short left to 15-B.Marshall for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   DEN