Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:56·DEN 9, NE 0

   (:56) 16-J.Plummer pass deep right to 84-J.Walker for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 13:17·DEN 16, NE 0

   (13:17) (Shotgun) 16-J.Plummer pass deep left to 84-J.Walker for 83 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-R.Seymour].

   +10pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q2 · 11:00·DEN 0, NE 0

   (11:00) 16-J.Plummer pass short right to 87-D.Kircus to NE 24 for 24 yards (37-R.Harrison) [94-T.Warren]. PENALTY on NE-94-T.Warren, Roughing the Passer, 12 yards, enforced at NE 24.

   +10pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:45·DEN 3, NE 0

   (3:45) 3-S.Gostkowski 37 yard field goal is BLOCKED (22-D.Foxworth), Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller, declared dead at DEN 27.

   +10pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q2 · 5:04·DEN 3, NE 0

   (5:04) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 39-L.Maroney to DEN 19 for 31 yards (27-Da.Williams). fake reverse to 80-Brown

   +9pp

   NWE