Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:06·DEN 0, NE 3

   (3:06) 23-A.Hall right guard to NE 38 for -1 yards (94-T.Warren). FUMBLES (94-T.Warren), touched at NE 44, RECOVERED by NE-51-J.Mayo at DEN 37. 51-J.Mayo to DEN 37 for no gain (46-S.Larsen). PENALTY on DEN-74-R.Harris, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at DEN 37.

   +22pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 8:57·DEN 0, NE 0

   (8:57) (Shotgun) 23-A.Hall right end to NE 30 for 2 yards (29-L.Sanders). FUMBLES (29-L.Sanders), RECOVERED by NE-90-L.Smith at NE 32. 90-L.Smith to NE 32 for no gain (62-C.Wiegmann).

   +12pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:10·DEN 0, NE 0

   (7:10) (No Huddle) 16-M.Cassel pass short left to 84-B.Watson pushed ob at DEN 16 for 29 yards (51-J.Winborn).

   +7pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:01·DEN 0, NE 0

   (14:01) 28-M.Pittman up the middle to DEN 39 for 9 yards (59-G.Guyton).

   +6pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:37·DEN 0, NE 12

   (7:37) NE 50-Vrabel eligible. 34-S.Morris left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +6pp

   NWE