Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:50·CHI 10, HOU 7

   3-K.Brown kicks 68 yards from HOU 30 to CHI 2. 38-D.Manning to CHI 33 for 31 yards (21-R.Moats). FUMBLES (21-R.Moats), RECOVERED by HOU-3-K.Brown at CHI 38.

   +15pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:15·CHI 7, HOU 0

   (5:15) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 20-S.Slaton to HOU 48 for 6 yards (33-C.Tillman). FUMBLES (33-C.Tillman), RECOVERED by CHI-96-A.Brown at CHI 44. 96-A.Brown to HOU 38 for 18 yards (76-D.Brown).

   +11pp

   CHI
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:48·CHI 0, HOU 0

   (7:48) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short middle to 23-D.Hester to HOU 33 for 15 yards (32-F.Bennett). PENALTY on HOU-93-T.Bulman, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 33.

   +11pp

   CHI
4. 4
   Q2 · 5:59·CHI 10, HOU 6

   (5:59) 8-M.Schaub pass deep left to 80-A.Johnson for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:36·CHI 10, HOU 7

   (3:36) 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 11-A.Davis pushed ob at CHI 10 for 16 yards (33-C.Tillman).

   +8pp

   HOU