Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 13:11·NO 24, CHI 24

   (13:11) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass incomplete deep right to 23-D.Hester. PENALTY on NO-41-R.Harper, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at CHI 47 - No Play.

   +35pp

   CHI
2. 2
   Q4 · 4:35·NO 17, CHI 21

   (4:35) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 12-M.Colston to CHI 14 for 22 yards (21-C.Graham).

   +24pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 5:25·NO 17, CHI 21

   (5:25) 18-K.Orton pass short middle intended for 88-D.Clark INTERCEPTED by 55-S.Fujita at CHI 48. 55-S.Fujita to CHI 31 for 17 yards (22-M.Forte).

   +24pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q1 · 15:00·NO 0, CHI 6

   5-G.Hartley kicks 53 yards from NO 30 to CHI 17. 38-D.Manning for 83 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +22pp

   CHI
5. 5
   Q2 · 8:25·NO 7, CHI 7

   (8:25) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass incomplete deep middle to 23-D.Hester. PENALTY on NO-42-J.David, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at NO 44 - No Play.

   +17pp

   CHI