Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:59·CIN 20, BAL 26

   (1:59) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass incomplete short right to 84-T.Houshmandzadeh (27-R.Prude).

   +9pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q1 · 14:54·CIN 0, BAL 0

   (14:54) 9-S.McNair pass short right to 86-T.Heap to CIN 19 for 15 yards (28-D.Jackson).

   +9pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:41·CIN 0, BAL 13

   (10:41) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass deep left intended for 85-C.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 22-S.Rolle at CIN 49. 22-S.Rolle to CIN 25 for 24 yards. Lateral to 20-E.Reed for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:54·CIN 10, BAL 23

   (13:54) (No Huddle) 9-C.Palmer pass deep right to 15-C.Henry to BAL 4 for 71 yards (21-C.McAlister). FUMBLES (21-C.McAlister), RECOVERED by BAL-20-E.Reed at BAL 4. 20-E.Reed to BAL 23 for 19 yards (84-T.Houshmandzadeh). Play Challenged by CIN and REVERSED. (No Huddle) 9-C.Palmer pass deep right to 15-C.Henry to BAL 4 for 71 yards (21-C.McAlister). Baltimore challenged the ruling on the field after Cincinnati's challenge, and was charged a timeout.

   +8pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q1 · 15:00·CIN 0, BAL 0

   3-M.Stover kicks 64 yards from BAL 30 to CIN 6. 23-C.Perry to CIN 33 for 27 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BAL-32-Mu.Smith at CIN 34.

   +5pp

   BAL