Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:54·IND 7, BAL 0

   (9:54) 23-W.McGahee up the middle to BAL 31 for no gain (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis), RECOVERED by IND-28-M.Jackson at BAL 33. 28-M.Jackson to BAL 12 for 21 yards (75-J.Ogden).

   +15pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:25·IND 6, BAL 0

   (11:25) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 87-R.Wayne for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:26·IND 0, BAL 0

   (12:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 11-A.Gonzalez to BAL 35 for 15 yards (24-D.Pittman).

   +10pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:04·IND 23, BAL 0

   (2:04) (Punt formation) 4-S.Koch punt is BLOCKED by 25-M.Coe, Center-70-M.Katula, ball out of bounds in End Zone, SAFETY.

   +10pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 4:22·IND 14, BAL 0

   (4:22) 7-K.Boller pass short right intended for 85-D.Mason INTERCEPTED by 58-G.Brackett at IND 32. 58-G.Brackett to BAL 19 for 49 yards (85-D.Mason).

   +8pp

   IND