Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 0:15·BAL 0, IND 3

   (:15) 31-J.Lewis right tackle to IND 33 for 47 yards (50-D.Thornton, 94-R.Morris).

   +13pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 3:21·BAL 3, IND 3

   (3:21) 7-K.Boller pass to 89-T.Taylor to IND 27 for 33 yards (28-I.Bashir).

   +10pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q3 · 2:34·BAL 3, IND 13

   (2:34) 3-M.Stover 31 yard field goal is BLOCKED (75-L.Tripplett), Center-59-J.Maese, Holder-15-D.Zastudil, RECOVERED by IND-27-V.Hutchins at IND 45. 27-V.Hutchins to BAL 31 for 24 yards (44-D.Wilcox).

   +9pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:13·BAL 3, IND 3

   (:13) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 81-M.Pollard to BAL 15 for 31 yards (20-E.Reed).

   +9pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:00·BAL 3, IND 3

   (2:00) 7-K.Boller sacked at IND 35 for -9 yards (93-D.Freeney).

   +8pp

   IND