Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 7:21·BAL 20, IND 19

   (7:21) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 42-A.Mitchell at BAL 18. 42-A.Mitchell to 50 for 32 yards (81-M.Pollard).

   +34pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:14·BAL 20, IND 19

   (1:14) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 83-Q.Ismail. PENALTY on BAL-28-G.Baxter, Defensive Pass Interference, 22 yards, enforced at IND 36 - No Play.

   +25pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:04·BAL 20, IND 22

   13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 30 yards from IND 30 to BAL 40. 45-L.Brightful to BAL 40 for no gain. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by IND-31-C.Crosby at BAL 40. 31-C.Crosby to BAL 35 for 5 yards (83-R.Johnson). It was a kick received by Ricard who laterals to Johnson who then laterals to Tate who then laterals to Brightful, fumbles and recovered by IND 31

   +19pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 14:50·BAL 13, IND 16

   (14:50) 7-C.Redman sacked at BAL 11 for -9 yards (79-R.Brock). FUMBLES (79-R.Brock), RECOVERED by IND-79-R.Brock at BAL 11. 79-R.Brock to BAL 11 for no gain (7-C.Redman). Sack -9 yards.

   +16pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:09·BAL 20, IND 22

   (:09) 13-M.Vanderjagt 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.

   +14pp

   IND