Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:59·JAX 24, IND 23

   (3:59) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +28pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q3 · 3:06·JAX 13, IND 14

   (3:06) 18-P.Manning pass to 44-D.Clark to IND 27 for 3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by JAX-20-D.Darius at IND 28. 20-D.Darius to IND 28 for no gain (44-D.Clark).

   +24pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:43·JAX 27, IND 24

   (:43) 10-J.Scobee 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. JAX - Scobee (10) injured on play.

   +22pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 10:46·JAX 10, IND 14

   (10:46) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith pushed ob at IND 11 for 65 yards (20-M.Doss).

   +20pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 6:20·JAX 22, IND 17

   (6:20) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 82-J.Smith for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   JAX