Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:07·MIA 22, IND 27

   (:07) (Shotgun) 17-C.Lemon pass incomplete deep left to 83-W.Welker.

   +16pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:13·MIA 22, IND 27

   (1:13) 17-H.Smith punts 39 yards to MIA 20, Center-48-J.Snow. 83-W.Welker to MIA 20 for no gain (53-K.O'Neil).

   +12pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:46·MIA 0, IND 0

   (14:46) 17-H.Smith punts 56 yards to MIA 29, Center-48-J.Snow. 83-W.Welker to MIA 37 for 8 yards (53-K.O'Neil, 54-F.Keiaho).

   +10pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 10:12·MIA 15, IND 26

   (10:12) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-M.Harrison for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:23·MIA 3, IND 7

   (3:23) (Shotgun) 17-C.Lemon pass deep left to 81-R.McMichael to IND 26 for 17 yards (58-G.Brackett) [59-C.June].

   +9pp

   MIA