Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:17·IND 23, MIA 17

   (2:17) 14-B.Griese sacked at IND 24 for -11 yards (93-D.Freeney). FUMBLES (93-D.Freeney), RECOVERED by IND-79-R.Brock at IND 23. 79-R.Brock to IND 23 for no gain (34-R.Williams).

   +32pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:50·IND 23, MIA 17

   (2:50) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 27-T.Buckley at IND 16. 27-T.Buckley to IND 15 for 1 yard (87-R.Wayne). Penalty on IND-83-B.Stokley, Offensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +23pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:35·IND 16, MIA 13

   (7:35) 14-B.Griese pass to 84-C.Chambers for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:20·IND 0, MIA 0

   (2:20) 14-B.Griese pass to 81-R.McMichael to IND 4 for 46 yards (25-N.Harper).

   +12pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:19·IND 6, MIA 7

   (1:19) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 81-M.Pollard to MIA 11 for 51 yards (23-P.Surtain). Pass caught off the deflection by #88 Harrison.

   +11pp

   IND