Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:42·TEN 10, JAX 15

   (3:42) 9-S.McNair pass to 88-E.Kinney to JAX 4 for 21 yards (30-D.Washington; 51-A.Ayodele). PENALTY on JAX-30-D.Washington, Face Mask (15 Yards), 2 yards, enforced at JAX 4. Face Mask was for 5 yards.

   +21pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:51·TEN 0, JAX 0

   (3:51) (Shotgun) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 36 for no gain. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by TEN-54-R.Calmus at JAX 36. 54-R.Calmus to JAX 36 for no gain (28-F.Taylor).

   +18pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 12:42·TEN 10, JAX 13

   (12:42) 9-S.McNair pass intended for 83-D.Bennett INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Washington at JAX 35. 30-D.Washington to JAX 35 for no gain (44-T.Fleming).

   +16pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 3:59·TEN 10, JAX 15

   (3:59) 9-S.McNair pass to 83-D.Bennett to JAX 25 for 9 yards (27-R.Mathis).

   +11pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:27·TEN 18, JAX 15

   (2:27) 32-A.Smith left tackle to TEN 46 for 11 yards (20-D.Darius; 57-T.Hendricks).

   +11pp

   TEN