Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 1:30·JAX 13, TEN 16

   (1:30) 9-D.Garrard scrambles up the middle pushed ob at TEN 1 for 40 yards (22-A.Dyson). Play Challenged by JAX and REVERSED. 9-D.Garrard scrambles up the middle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:28·JAX 0, TEN 0

   (12:28) (Shotgun) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to TEN 49 for 17 yards (31-L.Schulters).

   +8pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q2 · 7:19·JAX 0, TEN 13

   (7:19) 9-S.McNair pass to 87-K.Dyson to TEN 20 for no gain (29-J.Craft). FUMBLES (29-J.Craft), RECOVERED by JAX-29-J.Craft at TEN 20.

   +8pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:57·JAX 6, TEN 13

   (3:57) 9-D.Garrard up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 8:24·JAX 7, TEN 16

   (8:24) 6-J.Nedney 32 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-60-A.Graham, Holder-15-C.Hentrich.

   +7pp

   JAX