Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:27·ATL 30, TB 28

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 14-B.Johnson pass to 82-C.Lee is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.

   +21pp

   ATL
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:45·ATL 3, TB 0

   (1:45) 14-B.Johnson pass intended for 87-K.McCardell INTERCEPTED by 53-K.Newman at TB 41. 53-K.Newman to TB 12 for 29 yards (67-K.Walker). PENALTY on TB-87-K.McCardell, Unnecessary Roughness, 6 yards, enforced at TB 12.

   +19pp

   ATL
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:13·ATL 23, TB 7

   (1:13) 14-B.Johnson pass intended for 82-C.Lee INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Bolden at TB 41. 21-J.Bolden for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   ATL
4. 4
   Q2 · 4:02·ATL 10, TB 7

   (4:02) 14-B.Johnson pass intended for 87-K.McCardell INTERCEPTED by 29-K.Carpenter at ATL 32. 29-K.Carpenter to ATL 32 for no gain (87-K.McCardell). Penalty on TB-60-C.Coleman, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +11pp

   ATL
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:53·ATL 10, TB 7

   (3:53) 7-M.Vick pass to 81-P.Price to TB 19 for 49 yards (26-D.Smith).

   +10pp

   ATL