Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints, Week 5 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 2:49·MIN 13, NO 13

   (2:49) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 4-M.Price to NO 12 for 7 yards (22-M.Emerson; 20-P.Werner). FUMBLES (22-M.Emerson), RECOVERED by NO-7-J.Sanker at NO 13. 7-J.Sanker for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +37pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q3 · 15:00·MIN 6, NO 7

   16-W.Reichard kicks 59 yards from MIN 35 to NO 6. 38-J.Price to NO 29 for 23 yards (41-J.Golday). FUMBLES (41-J.Golday), RECOVERED by MIN-82-J.Jones at NO 37.

   +17pp

   MIN
3. 3
   Q1 · 0:50·MIN 3, NO 0

   (:50) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones up the middle to NO 7 for 3 yards (97-K.Boyd). FUMBLES (97-K.Boyd), RECOVERED by NO-99-C.Young at NO 7. 99-C.Young to NO 34 for 27 yards (13-T.Felton).

   +16pp

   NOR
4. 4