Minnesota Vikings at Pittsburgh Steelers, Week 4 2025

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 12:28·MIN 3, PIT 13

   (12:28) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 4-D.Metcalf for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:08·MIN 21, PIT 24

   (1:08) 3-C.Waitman punts 45 yards to end zone, Center-46-C.Kuntz, Touchback.

   +15pp

   MIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:43·MIN 21, PIT 24

   (:43) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short left [51-N.Herbig]. PENALTY on MIN-11-C.Wentz, Intentional Grounding, 16 yards, enforced at MIN 39.

   +15pp

   PIT
4. 4