Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:01·BUF 23, NYJ 20

   (2:01) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep right intended for 18-M.Williams INTERCEPTED by 7-Ta.Johnson at BUF 18. 7-Ta.Johnson to BUF 18 for no gain (18-M.Williams). NYJ-18-M.Williams was injured during the play.

   +17pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:08·BUF 20, NYJ 16

   (:08) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 10-A.Lazard for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 12:04·BUF 20, NYJ 20

   (12:04) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 10-A.Lazard to BUF 27 for 25 yards (3-D.Hamlin) [90-D.Carter].

   +16pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q3 · 7:51·BUF 20, NYJ 17

   (7:51) (Shotgun) 20-B.Hall left end pushed ob at BUF 3 for 42 yards (9-T.Rapp).

   +15pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:29·BUF 7, NYJ 10

   (11:29) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 22-R.Davis to NYJ 48 for 42 yards (56-Qi.Williams). Penalty on NYJ-23-I.Oliver, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +10pp

   BUF