Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:42·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (5:42) M.White returns at QB. (Shotgun) 5-M.White pass short right to 17-G.Wilson ran ob at BUF 38 for 12 yards.

   +10pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q3 · 10:05·NYJ 6, BUF 7

   (10:05) (Shotgun) 27-Z.Knight left tackle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:34·NYJ 0, BUF 6

   (:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 88-D.Knox for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN [47-B.Huff].

   +8pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 4:41·NYJ 7, BUF 14

   (4:41) J.Flacco in at QB. 19-J.Flacco sacked at NYJ 45 for -5 yards (50-G.Rousseau). FUMBLES (50-G.Rousseau) [50-G.Rousseau], RECOVERED by BUF-92-D.Jones at NYJ 44.

   +8pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:41·NYJ 9, BUF 20

   (5:41) 32-Mi.Carter left guard to BUF 23 for 5 yards (7-T.Johnson, 3-D.Hamlin). FUMBLES (3-D.Hamlin), RECOVERED by BUF-58-M.Milano at BUF 22.

   +8pp

   BUF