Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:55·PHI 14, KC 17

   (6:55) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 6-D.Smith to KC 1 for 41 yards (21-M.Edwards).

   +20pp

   PHI
2. 2
   Q4 · 13:21·PHI 14, KC 17

   (13:21) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to PHI 9 for 5 yards (33-B.Roby). FUMBLES (33-B.Roby), RECOVERED by PHI-41-N.Morrow at PHI 10.

   +15pp

   PHI
3. 3
   Q2 · 6:51·PHI 7, KC 7

   (6:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left intended for 84-Ju.Watson INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Byard at PHI -5. Touchback.

   +14pp

   PHI
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:35·PHI 21, KC 17

   (1:35) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep right to 84-Ju.Watson (2-D.Slay).

   +12pp

   PHI
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:33·PHI 14, KC 17

   (7:33) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short middle to 6-D.Smith to KC 42 for 13 yards (35-Ja.Watson).

   +11pp

   PHI