Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 15:00·MIA 6, SF 0

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short right to 14-T.Sherfield for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 65 YAC

   +24pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q2 · 6:19·MIA 10, SF 10

   (6:19) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy sacked at MIA 45 for -7 yards (sack split by 43-A.Van Ginkel and 92-Z.Sieler). Penalty on SF-65-A.Banks, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +10pp

   MIA
3. 3
   Q3 · 10:07·MIA 10, SF 17

   (10:07) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short right intended for 23-J.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 1-J.Ward [91-A.Armstead] at SF 36. 1-J.Ward to SF 36 for no gain (23-J.Wilson).

   +9pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q4 · 14:35·MIA 16, SF 23

   (14:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep middle to 10-T.Hill for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. SF-56-S.Ebukam was injured during the play. 6 YAC

   +9pp

   MIA
5. 5
   Q2 · 14:20·MIA 7, SF 10

   (14:20) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left to 10-T.Hill to SF 36 for 17 yards (38-D.Lenoir). 3 YAC

   +9pp

   MIA